Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 4.414595 4.946339 5.525244 6.203664 6.978637 7.838275 8.866767
2025-02-02 3.741594 4.471948 5.327697 6.409926 7.749831 9.364285 11.471819
2025-02-09 3.278982 4.111929 5.143177 6.525385 8.346986 10.689925 13.970842
2025-02-16 2.937431 3.828452 4.981824 6.603043 8.853264 11.910937 16.457627
2025-02-23 2.673384 3.599905 4.845535 6.669593 9.318104 13.095369 19.021425
2025-03-02 2.381928 3.295446 4.562979 6.484133 9.382501 13.691329 20.773696
2025-03-09 2.172830 3.080957 4.377804 6.406599 9.577964 14.479411 22.898957
2025-03-16 1.992806 2.888917 4.202327 6.317110 9.732352 15.203988 24.998651
2025-03-23 1.922553 2.851214 4.249365 6.569065 10.445280 16.895941 28.962847
2025-03-30 1.799476 2.720879 4.140283 6.556724 10.715767 17.870686 31.785228
2025-04-06 1.680590 2.586521 4.011751 6.496504 10.892204 18.692787 34.429902
2025-04-13 1.513715 2.362628 3.720675 6.133729 10.497856 18.439431 34.947578
2025-04-20 1.435293 2.279287 3.657622 6.165177 10.826884 19.581953 38.484020
2025-04-27 1.393945 2.254124 3.689731 6.367494 11.493884 21.453346 43.857032
2025-05-04 1.340742 2.204385 3.674817 6.481535 12.003460 23.077279 48.974523
2025-05-11 1.286108 2.147723 3.642468 6.558479 12.446263 24.618170 54.172679
2025-05-18 1.234340 2.092035 3.606852 6.624491 12.872010 26.174748 59.686494
2025-05-25 1.151671 1.975237 3.450850 6.440451 12.757001 26.534967 62.311833
2025-06-01 1.090492 1.893328 3.353318 6.363510 12.859654 27.391835 66.353655
2025-06-08 1.032628 1.813749 3.254406 6.274706 12.926116 28.171918 70.335179
2025-06-15 1.020373 1.818460 3.316729 6.524729 13.773756 30.914005 80.251232
2025-06-22 0.977972 1.763061 3.257801 6.512483 14.020307 32.223172 86.352353
2025-06-29 0.933236 1.700379 3.180084 6.452726 14.148749 33.252121 91.834470